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Does the President’s Party Matter to Equity Returns?
With the presidential election less than one month away, many issues are front and center these days. The candidates frequently opine on foreign policy, immigration, entitlement spending, social issues, and economic policy, among others. As part of economic policy, politicians and political commentators often ponder (and even attempt to spin) whether a particular candidate or party is better for future equity market performance. Whatever your political persuasion, it is easy to see how a particular candidate might attempt to convince voters that that his/her policies will lead to a better economy and ultimately better returns on equities if elected. However, the results are fairly mixed and open to interpretation.